La Liga matchday report: Round of 23 October to 26 October 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 10 La Liga matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 5 (50%). There were 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins, with 24 goals scored (2.4 a match). The highest-scoring match was Ath Bilbao 4–0 Getafe (4 goals). The biggest winning margin was 4: Ath Bilbao 4–0 Getafe. Our three most confident selections: Ath Madrid to win (Ath Madrid 1–0 La Coruna, right); Barcelona to win (Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid, wrong); Alaves to win (Alaves 1–1 Malaga, wrong). Season to date in the La Liga, our predicted result has been right in 5 of 10 published matches (50%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ath Madrid v La Coruna | 1–0 | Ath Madrid to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Barcelona v Real Madrid | 1–2 | Barcelona to win | No | Lower draw risk | No |
| Alaves v Malaga | 1–1 | Alaves to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Sociedad v Levante | 2–1 | Sociedad to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Vallecano v Elche | 0–3 | Vallecano to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Valencia v Villarreal | 1–2 | Villarreal to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Sevilla v Osasuna | 2–0 | Sevilla to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Ath Bilbao v Getafe | 4–0 | Ath Bilbao to win | Yes | Higher draw risk | No |
| Celta v Betis | 0–0 | Celta to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Santander v Espanol | 2–1 | Espanol to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
Match by match
Ath Madrid 1–0 La Coruna
We predicted Ath Madrid to win (confidence rank 1 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
We predicted Barcelona to win (confidence rank 2 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Alaves 1–1 Malaga
We predicted Alaves to win (confidence rank 3 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Sociedad 2–1 Levante
We predicted Sociedad to win (confidence rank 4 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Vallecano 0–3 Elche
We predicted Vallecano to win (confidence rank 5 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Valencia 1–2 Villarreal
We predicted Villarreal to win (confidence rank 6 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Sevilla 2–0 Osasuna
We predicted Sevilla to win (confidence rank 7 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Ath Bilbao 4–0 Getafe
We predicted Ath Bilbao to win (confidence rank 8 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: higher draw risk; the match did not end level.
Celta 0–0 Betis
We predicted Celta to win (confidence rank 9 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Santander 2–1 Espanol
We predicted Espanol to win (confidence rank 10 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
La Liga table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 | – |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 | – |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 | – |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 | – |
| 5 | Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 | – |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +0 | 17 | – |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 | – |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | +5 |
| 9 | Celta | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | −1 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 | La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 11 | −2 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | −2 |
| 13 | Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 | +4 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 | −3 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | −2 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | −2 |
| 18 | Espanol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | −2 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 | – |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All La Liga matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next La Liga round: Friday 30 October