Ligue 1 matchday report: Round of 23 October to 25 October 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 9 Ligue 1 matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 4 (44%). There were 4 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win, with 22 goals scored (2.4 a match). The highest-scoring match was Marseille 4–3 Le Havre (7 goals). The biggest winning margin was 3: Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg. Our three most confident selections: Toulouse to win (Toulouse 0–0 Troyes, wrong); Marseille to win (Marseille 4–3 Le Havre, right); Paris SG to win (Paris SG 2–0 Lyon, right). Season to date in the Ligue 1, our predicted result has been right in 4 of 9 published matches (44%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse v Troyes | 0–0 | Toulouse to win | No | Lower draw risk | Yes |
| Marseille v Le Havre | 4–3 | Marseille to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Paris SG v Lyon | 2–0 | Paris SG to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Lens v Paris FC | 2–1 | Lens to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Auxerre v Le Mans | 1–1 | Auxerre to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Brest v Nice | 1–2 | Brest to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Rennes v Strasbourg | 3–0 | Rennes to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Angers v Lorient | 0–0 | Lorient to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Monaco v Lille | 1–1 | Monaco to win | No | Higher draw risk | Yes |
Match by match
Toulouse 0–0 Troyes
We predicted Toulouse to win (confidence rank 1 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did end level.
Marseille 4–3 Le Havre
We predicted Marseille to win (confidence rank 2 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Paris SG 2–0 Lyon
We predicted Paris SG to win (confidence rank 3 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Lens 2–1 Paris FC
We predicted Lens to win (confidence rank 4 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans
We predicted Auxerre to win (confidence rank 5 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Brest 1–2 Nice
We predicted Brest to win (confidence rank 6 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Rennes 3–0 Strasbourg
We predicted Rennes to win (confidence rank 7 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Angers 0–0 Lorient
We predicted Lorient to win (confidence rank 8 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Monaco 1–1 Lille
We predicted Monaco to win (confidence rank 9 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: higher draw risk; the match did end level.
Ligue 1 table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 16 | +5 |
| 2 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 15 | +2 |
| 3 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 15 | +2 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 14 | −3 |
| 5 | Paris SG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | −3 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 | −3 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 | +1 |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 12 | +1 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 12 | −2 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 | +3 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 10 | – |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 | – |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 | −3 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 | −2 |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 | – |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 2 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All Ligue 1 matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next Ligue 1 round: Friday 30 October