Premier League matchday report: Round of 23 October to 25 October 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 10 Premier League matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 2 (20%). There were 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins, with 19 goals scored (1.9 a match). The highest-scoring match was Aston Villa 2–1 Man City and Man United 0–3 Bournemouth (3 goals). The biggest winning margin was 3: Man United 0–3 Bournemouth. Our three most confident selections: Arsenal to win (Arsenal 2–0 Everton, right); Chelsea to win (Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham, wrong); Man City to win (Aston Villa 2–1 Man City, wrong). Our featured accumulator (Arsenal to win, Chelsea to win, Man City to win) lost: Chelsea to win, Man City to win did not come in. Season to date in the Premier League, our predicted result has been right in 2 of 10 published matches (20%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal v Everton | 2–0 | Arsenal to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Chelsea v Tottenham | 0–2 | Chelsea to win | No | Lower draw risk | No |
| Aston Villa v Man City | 2–1 | Man City to win | No | Lower draw risk | No |
| Man United v Bournemouth | 0–3 | Man United to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Ipswich v Nott'm Forest | 1–1 | Nott'm Forest to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Liverpool v Brighton | 2–0 | Brighton to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Sunderland v Leeds | 0–0 | Leeds to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Hull v Brentford | 1–1 | Brentford to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Crystal Palace v Newcastle | 0–2 | Newcastle to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Coventry v Fulham | 0–1 | Coventry to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
Match by match
Arsenal 2–0 Everton
We predicted Arsenal to win (confidence rank 1 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham
We predicted Chelsea to win (confidence rank 2 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Aston Villa 2–1 Man City
We predicted Man City to win (confidence rank 3 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Man United 0–3 Bournemouth
We predicted Man United to win (confidence rank 4 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Ipswich 1–1 Nott'm Forest
We predicted Nott'm Forest to win (confidence rank 5 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Liverpool 2–0 Brighton
We predicted Brighton to win (confidence rank 6 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
We predicted Leeds to win (confidence rank 7 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Hull 1–1 Brentford
We predicted Brentford to win (confidence rank 8 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Crystal Palace 0–2 Newcastle
We predicted Newcastle to win (confidence rank 9 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Coventry 0–1 Fulham
We predicted Coventry to win (confidence rank 10 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Premier League table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | – |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | – |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | – |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | +1 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | −1 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | – |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | – |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | +3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | +3 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | −1 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | −3 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | −2 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | −3 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | −3 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | −2 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All Premier League matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next Premier League round: Saturday 31 October