Primeira Liga matchday report: Round of 23 October to 26 October 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 9 Primeira Liga matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 4 (44%). There were 2 home wins, 0 draws and 7 away wins, with 24 goals scored (2.7 a match). The highest-scoring match was Guimaraes 5–0 Maritimo (5 goals). The biggest winning margin was 5: Guimaraes 5–0 Maritimo. Our three most confident selections: Sp Lisbon to win (Sp Lisbon 1–2 Academico Viseu, wrong); Benfica to win (Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica, right); Porto to win (Gil Vicente 0–1 Porto, right). Our featured accumulator (Sp Lisbon to win, Benfica to win, Porto to win) lost: Sp Lisbon to win did not come in. Season to date in the Primeira Liga, our predicted result has been right in 4 of 9 published matches (44%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon v Academico Viseu | 1–2 | Sp Lisbon to win | No | Lower draw risk | No |
| Santa Clara v Benfica | 1–2 | Benfica to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Gil Vicente v Porto | 0–1 | Porto to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 0–2 | Estrela to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Nacional v Sp Braga | 1–0 | Sp Braga to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Rio Ave v Famalicao | 0–4 | Famalicao to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Guimaraes v Maritimo | 5–0 | Guimaraes to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Estoril v Moreirense | 1–3 | Estoril to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
| Alverca v Arouca | 0–1 | Alverca to win | No | Typical draw risk | No |
Match by match
Sp Lisbon 1–2 Academico Viseu
We predicted Sp Lisbon to win (confidence rank 1 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica
We predicted Benfica to win (confidence rank 2 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Gil Vicente 0–1 Porto
We predicted Porto to win (confidence rank 3 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Estrela 0–2 Casa Pia
We predicted Estrela to win (confidence rank 4 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Nacional 1–0 Sp Braga
We predicted Sp Braga to win (confidence rank 5 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Rio Ave 0–4 Famalicao
We predicted Famalicao to win (confidence rank 6 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Guimaraes 5–0 Maritimo
We predicted Guimaraes to win (confidence rank 7 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Estoril 1–3 Moreirense
We predicted Estoril to win (confidence rank 8 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Alverca 0–1 Arouca
We predicted Alverca to win (confidence rank 9 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Primeira Liga table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 27 | – |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 22 | – |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 18 | – |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 18 | – |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 17 | – |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 | +1 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 14 | −1 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 11 | – |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 | – |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 | −2 |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 | −3 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 7 | −3 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All Primeira Liga matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next Primeira Liga round: Friday 30 October