Primeira Liga matchday report: Round of 30 October to 2 November 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 9 Primeira Liga matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 8 (89%). There were 6 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins, with 19 goals scored (2.1 a match). The highest-scoring match was Porto 4–0 Estoril (4 goals). The biggest winning margin was 4: Porto 4–0 Estoril. Our three most confident selections: Benfica to win (Benfica 1–0 Alverca, right); Porto to win (Porto 4–0 Estoril, right); Sp Lisbon to win (Casa Pia 0–2 Sp Lisbon, right). Our featured accumulator (Benfica to win, Porto to win, Sp Lisbon to win, Academico Viseu to win) won. Season to date in the Primeira Liga, our predicted result has been right in 12 of 18 published matches (67%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica v Alverca | 1–0 | Benfica to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Porto v Estoril | 4–0 | Porto to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon | 0–2 | Sp Lisbon to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Academico Viseu v Rio Ave | 2–1 | Academico Viseu to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Arouca v Nacional | 1–0 | Arouca to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Maritimo v Santa Clara | 0–2 | Santa Clara to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Moreirense v Estrela | 2–1 | Moreirense to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Gil Vicente v Guimaraes | 0–0 | Gil Vicente to win | No | Higher draw risk | Yes |
| Sp Braga v Famalicao | 3–0 | Sp Braga to win | Yes | Higher draw risk | No |
Match by match
Benfica 1–0 Alverca
We predicted Benfica to win (confidence rank 1 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Porto 4–0 Estoril
We predicted Porto to win (confidence rank 2 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Casa Pia 0–2 Sp Lisbon
We predicted Sp Lisbon to win (confidence rank 3 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Academico Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave
We predicted Academico Viseu to win (confidence rank 4 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Arouca 1–0 Nacional
We predicted Arouca to win (confidence rank 5 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Maritimo 0–2 Santa Clara
We predicted Santa Clara to win (confidence rank 6 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Moreirense 2–1 Estrela
We predicted Moreirense to win (confidence rank 7 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Gil Vicente 0–0 Guimaraes
We predicted Gil Vicente to win (confidence rank 8 of 9 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: higher draw risk; the match did end level.
Sp Braga 3–0 Famalicao
We predicted Sp Braga to win (confidence rank 9 of 9 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: higher draw risk; the match did not end level.
Primeira Liga table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 30 | – |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | +19 | 25 | – |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 21 | – |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 21 | – |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 | – |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 20 | – |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 15 | – |
| 8 | Sp Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 | +1 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | −2 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | +0 | 10 | – |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 | – |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 9 | – |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 8 | – |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 | – |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 7 | −1 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 2 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All Primeira Liga matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next Primeira Liga round: Friday 6 November