Serie A matchday report: Round of 23 October to 25 October 2026
Every result from the round, set against what we predicted before kick-off.
Of the 10 Serie A matches in this round, our predicted result was right in 7 (70%). There were 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins, with 34 goals scored (3.4 a match). The highest-scoring match was Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone (8 goals). The biggest winning margin was 2: Como 2–0 Sassuolo and Lecce 0–2 Juventus. Our three most confident selections: Inter to win (Inter 2–1 Fiorentina, right); Como to win (Como 2–0 Sassuolo, right); Lazio to win (Lazio 2–1 Parma, right). Our featured accumulator (Inter to win, Como to win, Lazio to win, Torino to win) won. Season to date in the Serie A, our predicted result has been right in 7 of 10 published matches (70%).
Results and our predictions
| Match | Score | Our prediction | Right? | Draw view | Draw? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter v Fiorentina | 2–1 | Inter to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Como v Sassuolo | 2–0 | Como to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Lazio v Parma | 2–1 | Lazio to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Torino v Monza | 3–2 | Torino to win | Yes | Lower draw risk | No |
| Atalanta v Frosinone | 4–4 | Atalanta to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Lecce v Juventus | 0–2 | Juventus to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Genoa v Venezia | 1–0 | Genoa to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Udinese v Milan | 0–2 | Milan to win | Yes | Typical draw risk | No |
| Napoli v Roma | 3–3 | Roma to win | No | Typical draw risk | Yes |
| Cagliari v Bologna | 0–2 | Cagliari to win | No | Higher draw risk | No |
Match by match
Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
We predicted Inter to win (confidence rank 1 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Como 2–0 Sassuolo
We predicted Como to win (confidence rank 2 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Lazio 2–1 Parma
We predicted Lazio to win (confidence rank 3 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Torino 3–2 Monza
We predicted Torino to win (confidence rank 4 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: lower draw risk; the match did not end level.
Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone
We predicted Atalanta to win (confidence rank 5 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Lecce 0–2 Juventus
We predicted Juventus to win (confidence rank 6 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Genoa 1–0 Venezia
We predicted Genoa to win (confidence rank 7 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Udinese 0–2 Milan
We predicted Milan to win (confidence rank 8 of 10 in the round). That was right. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did not end level.
Napoli 3–3 Roma
We predicted Roma to win (confidence rank 9 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: typical draw risk; the match did end level.
Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
We predicted Cagliari to win (confidence rank 10 of 10 in the round). That was wrong. Draw view beforehand: higher draw risk; the match did not end level.
Serie A table after this round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 22 | – |
| 2 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 22 | – |
| 3 | Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 18 | – |
| 4 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 18 | – |
| 5 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 17 | – |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 | – |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 | +1 |
| 8 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 13 | +2 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 13 | −2 |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 | −1 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 10 | – |
| 12 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 | – |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 | −1 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 7 | −1 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 | Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | −1 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 4 | – |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | – |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 | – |
Our predictions for this round · All Serie A matchday reports · Full results ledger · Next Serie A round: Saturday 31 October